Tuesday, October 6, 2026

Final Memo

the full picture, 4 weeks out
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The Big Picture  

Republicans have complete control of the federal government and they are using it to protect their House majority by any means necessary. Taking back the House is the only way to put a check on this administration and that means holding every competitive seat Democrats have. NY-04 is one of them.

Where Things Stand

  • This district is one of the most competitive in the country. New reporting has named this district one of the top House targets on Long Island, and identified Laura as one of the most vulnerable Democrats that Republicans are working to unseat.
  • Long Island is trending redder. Local Republicans have made steady gains across Nassau and Suffolk counties. Republicans believe that shift gives them an opening in NY-04.
  • Trump and Mike Johnson personally traveled to Nassau County to campaign for Laura's opponent. A Republican outside group has pledged $22 million in ad spending across Long Island this fall, on top of tens of millions already spent nationally promoting the GOP's agenda.
  • The GOP has their candidate, and she’s up on the air now. Laura's opponent has Trump's endorsement, a place on the NRCC's list of top-priority candidates, and attack ads already running, all backed by the full financial weight of the national party.

What’s at Stake

If Republicans flip this seat, they'll have an even stronger grip on the House and a clearer path to push their agenda. If we hold it, Democrats are one step closer to taking back the House.

What Laura Needs

This is the final stretch. The next few weeks are critical to fund voter contact, counter the attack ads already running in the district, and build the resources needed to compete against national Republican spending in the closing days of this race.

 

 

Laura Gillen for Congress Footer
 
Paid for and authorized by Gillen for NY.

Gillen for NY
PO Box 774
Rockville Centre, NY 11571
United States

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