Friday, July 17, 2026

They said no Republican has ever come back from this

 

Jason,

We just got some of the best news of the campaign so far: Sabato's Crystal Ball — one of the top election forecasters in the country — just moved CA-22 from Toss-up to Leans Democratic.
 
** Updated 7.17.26 **
CA-22 General Election Ratings

Cook Political Report: Tossup
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
NEW: Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic

Here's why: in our primary, Democratic candidates combined for nearly 60% of the vote in CA-22, holding David Valadao to a dismal 40.7%.

Crystal Ball put it plainly: there is "no recent precedent" in the entire history of California's top-two system for a Republican incumbent to come back and win after falling that far below 50% in the first round.

Their conclusion: "Villegas starts with an edge."

We're not taking anything for granted. We outraised David Valadao last quarter — but he's sitting on a nearly 6-to-1 cash-on-hand advantage, built on corporate PAC checks and DC special interests who need him back in Congress to keep voting their way.

But ratings don't cast ballots. Voters cast ballots. Direct mail, grassroots volunteers, and digital ads reaching voters before Valadao's team can — that's what will make the difference.

Every dollar you give right now goes straight into closing that 6-to-1 gap and turning this "Leans Democratic" rating into a win on Election Night. Please rush in a $3 right now.
 
If you've saved your payment information with ActBlue Express, your donation will go through immediately:

Thank you,

Team Randy

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